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The Dark Side of Valuation: Valuing Old Tech, New Tech, and New Economy Companies

by Aswath Damodaran

List Price:$59.00
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Average Rating:4 out of 5 stars
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Editorial Reviews
Product Description
(Pearson Education) A comprehensive guide to valuing technology companies, for investors, financial executives, venture capitalist, and other professionals. Includes 5 detailed case studies that cover the entire tech lifecycle, from Amazon.com to Cisco and Motorola. DLC: Valuation.

Amazon.com Review
If the tech-stock swoon merely whets your appetite for this roller coaster of a market sector, and your eyes don't glaze over at the very sight of formulas like "Return on Capital = EBIT (1 - t) / Capital Invested," then The Dark Side of Valuation is the investment guide you've been waiting for. Whether considering New Economy firms at their peak or their valley, writes Aswath Damodaran, the problem has always been determining their true value with equitable dispassion. A leading expert on the topic, Damodaran begins by noting that standard corporate valuations are determined by four factors: cash flow from existing investments, growth expected from this cash flow, length of time this growth is sustained, and cost of capital to sustain it. In what he admits is not always an easy read, Damodaran then details various ways to adapt conventional valuation methods for companies that lack key traditional variables (such as profits, track records, and even competitors with which they can be compared) in order to arrive at realistic valuations. Those not scared off by charts comparing the historical risk for T-bills and T-bonds since 1928 will find this book worth a look. --Howard Rothman


All Customer Reviews
Average Customer Review:4 out of 5 stars
60 of 60 people found the following review helpful:

3 out of 5 stars'Investment Valuation' with new title and cover, 2002-04-24
The Pros:

Damodaran is a gifted teacher and in his books is able as well to explain the concepts and techniques of valuation in an understandable manner. The book serves mainly for readers who want to get a comprehensible (and to a certain degree comprehensive) overview of the topics with selected in-depth discussions and it is quite 'readable'.

The Cons:

The book is not new at all, as about 90% is a copy of his earlier book 'Investment Valuation'. The only real difference is the selection of the examples used and the financial and market data are more current compared to his other book from 1994. It seems that the marketing department of the publisher saw an opportunity to sell a 'new' book to the new class of technology investors. However, the occasional comments of which valuation topics are specific to technology companies could be summarized on a couple of pages.
The book is good for giving a comprehensible overview but does not go very much into depth.
Effectively, it's the earlier book 'Investment Valuation' recycled with a new title and new cover, still a good book but not new at all.


11 of 16 people found the following review helpful:

5 out of 5 starsThe best valuation book I have read!!!, 2001-12-27
Do you need to understand the basic fundamentals of valuation? Then this is the book you need. This book will take you through step by step on how to value a company and the assumptions you need to make. By far, this book is much easier to read and understand than the book "Valuation," written by couple of Mckinsey consultants.


34 of 35 people found the following review helpful:

5 out of 5 starsThe best book so far on valuation from the investor's view, 2001-11-09
Although much of the organization and explanation of valuation techniques presented here repeats the presentation in Damodaran's previous books, he does two things which make this the better book than the previous books: 1) he discusses the role of "tech" companies in our economy and he selects 5 specific companies which serve as his examples in every chapter and 2) he makes reference to excel spreadsheets (available for free download on his web page) which he has prepared to allow readers to apply what they are learning immediately and with a minimum of set-up time. As tech companies play a larger and larger part in our economy, the specific quirks and issues related to the operation of tech businesses and the impact of those industry-specific issues on the valuation process become more important for us. One might argue that all companies, whether they are wine makers or processor makers, face industry-specific valuation issues which do not affect companies in other industries, and in light of that, many issues discussed here might not be relevant to the wine makers. But tech is so important to us now that we can no longer afford to use generic, non-tech specific techniques in the face of an increasingly tech-heavy stock market.

As for the reviewer who compained that Damodaran doesn't do enough work in real option theory: Damodaran says in this book exactly what needs to be said about real option theory: that it has very limited applications (which is not to say that it is not revolutionary within those limited applications) and that the push to broaden the use of real option valuation beyond its traditional applications can more often than not constitute misuse and abuse of the models. Not every investment contains options, and not all of those options have value, to paraphrase Damodaran himself. Damodaran doesn't ignore real options, of course: he calls them contingency claims (as they technically should be called) and dedicates a chapter to explaining there use and abuse. Using real options, when it comes down to it, involves building and solving partial differential equations based on stochastic processes. As any actuary or financial analyst could confirm, teaching stochastic processes presupposes a very strong math base and still would require an entire book. Damodaran did the right thing by limiting himself to a single, illustrative chapter.

The best part of this book is that thanks to Damodaran's congenial and accessible ability to write, this book can be read and prove valuable to people with a variety of needs. As an MBA student this book has been invaluable. But I even gave this book as a gift to my brother, a decidedly non-financial person, to replace his countless "How to Invest" books sitting on his bookshelf.


36 of 41 people found the following review helpful:

3 out of 5 starsStrong on the valuation of old tech companies, 2001-03-18
Excellent introduction to discounted cash flow approach to valuation. Excellent examples. But very weak on real options valuation. After recognizing that real options are mostly american, the author values them like european anyway resulting in systematic undervaluation of real options. This is a shame since much of the value of new companies come from real options. If you are already familiar with DCF valuation, then you might prefer Copeland's 'Real Options' to bring yourself up to date with the latest developments in the practice of valuation.


18 of 20 people found the following review helpful:

4 out of 5 starsOne of the best how-to guide on valuation, 2001-03-11
This is one of the most complete books on valuation in the market. The others are Valuation from Copeland and Damodaran on Valuation.

It contains concepts and technicalities, such as CFROI, PEG or how to include management options in valuation, not found in other books -though I rather that he expanded more on this-.

The only drawbacks I find in Damodaran books are the limited attention to real-world balance sheet problems one may face (ie: effects of Minority Interests in valuation) and the no-mention policy for valuing banks. In this category, Copeland's Valuation book is better. Of course, this particular book is only meant to value tech firms !!!

If you want a really in-depth valuation book, just buy it.




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