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The End of Oil: On the Edge of a Perilous New World

by Paul Roberts

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Editorial Reviews
Product Description
You live in this world. You use oil. You must read this book.

The situation is alarming and irrefutable: within thirty years, even by conservative estimates, we will have burned our way through most of the oil that is readily available to us. Already, the costly side effects of dependence on fossil fuel are taking their toll. Even as oil-related conflict threatens entire nations, individual consumers are suffering from higher prices at the gas pump, rising health problems, and the grim prospect of long-term environmental damage.
In this frank and balanced investigation, Paul Roberts offers a timely wake-up call. He talks to both oil optimists and oil pessimists, delves deep into the economics and politics of oil, and considers the promises and pitfalls of alternatives such as wind power, hybrid cars, and hydrogen. A new afterword brings the book up to the minute. Brisk, immediate, and accessible, this is essential reading for anyone who uses oil, which is to say every one of us.

Amazon.com
The End of Oil is a "geologic cautionary tale for a complacent world accustomed to reliable infusions of cheap energy." The book centers around one irrefutable fact: the global supply of oil is being depleted at an alarming rate. Precisely how much accessible (not to mention theoretical) oil remains is debatable, but even conservative estimates mark the peak of production in decades rather than centuries. Which energy sources will replace oil, who will control them, and how disruptive to the current world order the transition from one system to the next will be are just a few of the big questions that Paul Roberts attempts to answer in this timely book.

As Roberts makes abundantly clear, the major oil players in the world wield their enormous economic and political power in order to maintain the status quo. Of course, they get plenty of help from the tens of millions of consumers, particularly in the U.S. and Europe, who guzzle oil as if there is an unlimited supply. And this demand shows no sign of abating--nearly half of the world's population lives without the benefits of fossil fuels and they desperately want to be among the haves. In countries such as China and India, where energy systems are already breaking down, Roberts discusses how they are looking to oil to fuel their race for development, in many cases ignoring environmental considerations altogether.

Though there is much to be pessimistic about, Roberts does uncover some positive developments, such as the race for alternative energy sources, notably hydrogen fuel cells, which could help to ease us off of our oil dependence before a full-blown energy crisis occurs. No one book could cover every aspect of what Roberts calls "arguably the most serious crisis ever to face industrial society," but The End of Oil is a remarkably informative and balanced introduction to this pressing subject. --Shawn Carkonen


All Customer Reviews
Average Customer Review:4.5 out of 5 stars
1 of 1 people found the following review helpful:

5 out of 5 starsMakes analysis of the contemporary energy order accessible., 2008-07-10
When I decided to read this book, I did so with the expectation of learning something only after wading through a great degree of partisan political rhetoric. It did not take me long to realize that Mr. Roberts' book is not what I had expected.

He makes this complex issue accessible to the layman looking to familiarize himself with not only oil, but the energy economy. Rather choose a side and engage in partisan sniping, he tells the good, the bad, and the ugly of the policies advocated by every party involved in the energy debate. Not only does he analyze our present situation, but he also studies our several possible ways forward into a new energy economy.

If I were pressed to make a complaint, it would be that I read the original hardcover edition of the book. A lot of the speculation regarding "worst case" scenarios involve $50 a barrel oil. Now that we are nearly $100 past that worst case, the educated speculation portrayed in the book should be coming to pass in the market. I would like to see either a completely updated 2008 edition or at least one with an updated preface.


2 of 3 people found the following review helpful:

4 out of 5 starsThe Title should have been " We are running out of low to medium priced oil ", 2008-06-29
Overall,the author has done a good job of demonstrating the seriousness of the oil price increase problem.However,he needed to emphasize that the problem is not one of running out of oil per se ,but of running out of the low to medium priced oil that,for instance,the world's agricultural farm businesses are based on and accustomed to.The author needed to emphasize the impeccable nature of the mathematical and statistical modeling done by M K Hubbert in his original 1969 paper( Deffeyes's minor correction of 2005 is well within the 1 to 5 % error allowed in science )and the relative accuracy of his predictions.For instance,he predicted that peak American oil production occurred in 1969.Hubbert was "wrong".It occurred in 1970.The fundamental point is that PEAK world production has been obtained.Hubbert's original paper never stated that the world would run out of oil in 2000.The world will essentially be out of oil around 2125-2150.
I have deducted one star because of the misleading title of the book.The title should be changed to " The End of Low to Medium Priced Oil:On the Edge of a World of $200 a Barrel Oil ".


0 of 2 people found the following review helpful:

4 out of 5 starsWhy isn't the mainstream media covering this story?, 2008-06-23
Good book, though quickly becoming outdated as we slide down the post-peak oil decline. I wish Roberts had cut about 50 pages, though; he starts to repeat himself in the second half of the book, as he revisits ideas he detailed in the first half. By page 276, I don't need to be reminded what comprises the hydrocarbon economy yet again.


0 of 3 people found the following review helpful:

3 out of 5 starsDecent writer but there are better books, 2008-06-16
This book spends a great deal of energy looking at the overall circumstances of world oil. The text is stretched with repetitive writing. To my mind Richard Heinberg's "The Party's Over" is far more clear and to the point. Fossil fuel is rapidly depleting. Heinberg hits this hard and in detail, Roberts tends to journalistically dither....


1 of 1 people found the following review helpful:

5 out of 5 starsAn eye-opening outlook of the petroleum industry, 2008-04-03
This book gave a very well rounded, all-inclusive view of where the oil industry started, is now, and is going. I had a hard time putting the book down; it had a way of invoking a lot of interesting thoughts. If everyone in America read this book, we'd be half-way there.




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